Polymarket Trader

AnonymeD

0xced965ab1cd53c1d05558bbae30fc29446724e81

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.96
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.71
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.3%
Current value: $10.89
Potential payout: $12.61
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $10.63
Potential profit: $8.13
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $6.96
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.07
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 51% 1.96 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 60% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 87% 5 shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 87.2% 12.61 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 53% 5 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 93.8% 1.07 shares
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares