Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $3.61K
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $171.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $411.12
Polymarket Trader
frishke123
0xcef5043b55bdf0e3d359eed96bd00add202dcf2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.36K
- Realized PnL
- $224.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.1%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $333.71
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$123.61
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $321.99
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $17.96
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $98
- Potential payout
- $440.45
- Potential profit
- $342.45
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $377.36
- Potential profit
- $377.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$199.81
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $85.09
- Potential profit
- $65.09
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $54.02
- Potential payout
- $61.74
- Potential profit
- $7.72
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $56.09
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $45.26
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $22.65
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $12.95
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.77
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $6.79
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.09
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $68,500 on March 8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.39
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 19% 83.33 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 53% 377.36 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 77.7% 5.15 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 58.8% 7.92 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 85% 20 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 1% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 77.6% 1,095.08 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 70% 142.86 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 63.1% 7.92 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 30.7% 1,072.87 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 90.9% 2,199.49 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 32.3% 37.87 shares