Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $11.88
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Polymarket Trader
0xceff...c073
0xceffb3bf03a2f08812133192917a0bbd2716c073
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $31.94
- Realized PnL
- $0.09
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 6.6% 21 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 81% 17 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 19% 15 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 96% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 59% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 41% 8 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 97% 8 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes 3.1% 60 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 79% 12 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 31% 9 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 52% 7 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 48% 13 shares