Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $465.71
- Potential payout
- $7.16K
- Potential profit
- $6.7K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$733.32
Polymarket Trader
0xCf01ec3FFAa5Fa4dfA4CAaD176a4971B5cd73e5f-1775494328297
0xcf01ec3ffaa5fa4dfa4caad176a4971b5cd73e5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $675.15
- Realized PnL
- -$312.86
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- User PnL
- -$195.03
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $183.54
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$219.97
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $403.85
- Potential profit
- $403.85
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.83
- Potential profit
- $217.83
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $25.89
- Potential payout
- $161.84
- Potential profit
- $135.94
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$24.11
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $107.14
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$6.29
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.63
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$111.76
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$128
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 74% 135.14 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 6% 333.33 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No 11.5% 217.83 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No 10.5% 143.88 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 6% 250 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 28% 71.43 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 14% 3,571.43 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 103.85 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 19% 157.89 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 312.5 shares