Polymarket Trader

mjuptr

0xcf0f71a0e571905d4a6a8915ee26286a5e783cfb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $217.11
Realized PnL: -$1.54
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$18.11

Yes position

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $24.06
Potential payout: $481.18
Potential profit: $457.12
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$59.34

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.23
Potential profit: $336.23
User PnL: -$6.34

Yes position

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.32
Potential profit: $307.32
User PnL: -$5.27

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300.3
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $68.5
Potential payout: $267.58
Potential profit: $199.08
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $47.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $235.29
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.22
Potential profit: $192.22
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $189.98
Potential profit: $186.09
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.98
Potential profit: $148.98
User PnL: -$8.22

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.81
Potential profit: $143.81
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.89
Potential profit: $139.89
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $116.93
Potential profit: $116.05
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $115.13
Potential profit: $112.21
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$7.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.19
Potential profit: $113.19
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will China join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.27
Potential profit: $100.27
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $100.1
Potential profit: $98.15
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $47.59
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $46.76
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $92.61
Potential profit: $91.64
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.82
Potential profit: $64.82
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $64.32
Potential payout: $64.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $59.96

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $62.12
Potential profit: $60.54
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.22
Potential profit: $59.22
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.08
Potential profit: $57.08
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?

No 1.2% 1.01 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?

No 0.6% 1.01 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?

No 4.9% 1.03 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?

Yes 0.6% 1.04 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?

Yes 0.5% 1.05 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?

Yes 0.7% 1.05 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?

No 4.6% 1.1 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?

Yes 0.9% 1.11 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?

Yes 0.6% 1.11 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?

Yes 0.1% 1.11 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?

No 6.6% 1.19 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?

Yes 0.7% 1.21 shares