Polymarket Trader

asdf233r2

0xcf166dafb2a86e435e85b6eac12438636c6f01cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.01
Realized PnL: $17.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.47
Potential profit: $282.47
User PnL: -$44.89

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.7
Potential profit: $176.7
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.57
Potential profit: $109.57
User PnL: -$79.77

Yes position

Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.79
Potential profit: $107.79
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.25
Potential profit: $106.25
User PnL: -$5.92

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.91
Potential profit: $77.91
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.91
Potential profit: $77.91
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.44
Potential profit: $22.44
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.78
Potential profit: $17.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.57

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.55
Potential profit: $10.55
User PnL: -$8.61

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53
Potential profit: $3.53
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.03K

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.1

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.64

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.2

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $77.61

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.93

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.55

Yes position

Will the median home value in New York City be between $580,000 and $590,000 by February 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.56

No position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.67

No position

Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.84

Yes position

Will Henry Cuellar be the Democratic nominee for TX-28?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.34

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.09

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

No position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.48

Yes position

Will Brandon Herrera be the Republican nominee for TX-23?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.43

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.89

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.78

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.08

No position

Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.43

Yes position

Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.84

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat?

No 5% 22.22 shares
Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?

No 94% 2.12 shares
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 40.6% 18.47 shares
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 53.6% 17.67 shares
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?

Yes 98.3% 96.22 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

No 99.4% 10 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 89% 10 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 21% 10 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

No 99.8% 10 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 91.2% 10 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

No 98.8% 10 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 39.6% 176.7 shares