Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $527.08
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $77.95
Polymarket Trader
majorkarr
0xcf181837087772b67f9021f8a512c2bbe02f8a0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.19K
- Realized PnL
- $13.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $261.35
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.49
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $118.97
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$507.77
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$209.24
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $110.42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $736.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- User PnL
- $549.01
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $66.52
- Potential payout
- $917.58
- Potential profit
- $851.06
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $655.02
- Potential profit
- $655.02
- User PnL
- -$177.25
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.55
- Potential profit
- $555.55
- User PnL
- -$216.66
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $512.1
- Potential profit
- $511.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$88.16
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.31
- Potential profit
- $437.31
- User PnL
- -$30.61
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $349.9
- Potential payout
- $404.51
- Potential profit
- $54.61
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $54.61
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $336.2
- Potential payout
- $340.46
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $30.69
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $260.33
- Potential payout
- $261.77
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- User PnL
- $16.79
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $213.27
- Potential payout
- $230.56
- Potential profit
- $17.29
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $162.4
- Potential payout
- $188.95
- Potential profit
- $26.55
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.74
- Potential profit
- $147.74
- User PnL
- -$23.64
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $15.59
- Potential payout
- $30.28
- Potential profit
- $14.69
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.24
- Potential profit
- $21.24
- User PnL
- -$18.54
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $12.07
- Potential payout
- $12.59
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $969.24
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.27
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.95
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.12
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $528.03
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.54
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $519.13
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.1
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.57
No position
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.06
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.83
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $270.04
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.35
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.32
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.21
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.47
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.87
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.02
No position
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73% 74.52 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 20% 92.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 1,827.76 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 161.44 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 82.62 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 150 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 273.52 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 13% 222.2 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 250 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 94.1% 0.16 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 93% 0.01 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 93% 0.01 shares