Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $11.5K
- Potential payout
- $258.47K
- Potential profit
- $246.97K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $865.36
Polymarket Trader
PantheraUncia
@IvanCryptoSlav
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $445.07K
- Realized PnL
- $192.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $189.38K
- Potential payout
- $189.66K
- Potential profit
- $284.49
- User PnL
- $155.7K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.24K
- Potential payout
- $188.29K
- Potential profit
- $184.05K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $703.83
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $38.02K
- Potential payout
- $114K
- Potential profit
- $75.98K
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.35K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $109.02K
- Potential payout
- $109.19K
- Potential profit
- $163.78
- User PnL
- $91.68K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $54.62K
- Potential profit
- $51.86K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $623.02
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $28.29K
- Potential payout
- $49.19K
- Potential profit
- $20.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.61K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $10.81K
- Potential payout
- $30.45K
- Potential profit
- $19.64K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $346.91
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $24.89K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- User PnL
- $4.89K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.06K
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $14.44K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$787.48
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $269.15
- Potential payout
- $15.38K
- Potential profit
- $15.11K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$53.83
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $9.97K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$225
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $9.62K
- Multiplier
- 7.46x
- User PnL
- -$557.55
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $3.85K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- $515.9
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $325
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $870.48
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $728.44
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $288.31
- Potential payout
- $873.66
- Potential profit
- $585.36
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $87.37
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $505.59
- Potential payout
- $524.75
- Potential profit
- $19.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $178.63
Under position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$220
Under position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.89
- Potential profit
- $67.89
- User PnL
- -$43.45
Under position
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.14
- Potential profit
- $18.14
- User PnL
- -$10.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.05K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.04K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.31K
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.15K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.75K
Iva Jovic position
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.74K
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.49K
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45K
Andrey Rublev position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.64K
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.64K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
Rafael Jodar position
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over 51% 75 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 91.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 7,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 5,000 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 68% 327.93 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 33.2% 12,530.21 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.4% 11,111 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 9.8% 12,222 shares
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder 44% 500 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 48% 800 shares
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under 52% 98 shares
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under 52% 500 shares