No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
0xcf27...66cc
0xcf27e8322d78824a17f4682286f76eac732166cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $24.02
- Realized PnL
- -$2.53
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.03
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 23% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 8 shares
- Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?Yes 41% 8 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 43% 11.63 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 76% 2.03 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 37% 7 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 75% 6.33 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 46% 10.52 shares