Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $435
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$483
Polymarket Trader
0xcF3C41eB9340e1a5e86bCdC1D244bfC6c1f98B46-1772522997963
0xcf3c41eb9340e1a5e86bcdc1d244bfc6c1f98b46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $435
- Realized PnL
- $104.25
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.19
- Potential profit
- $62.19
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.81
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.2
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$15.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 300 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 2,700 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 56% 100 shares
- Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?Yes 40.2% 62.19 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Yes 19% 263.16 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 49.8% 100 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 82.3% 199.99 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 62% 50 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 32.6% 50 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 64% 50 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 63% 50 shares