No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
Marcusoef5
0xcf4d771222de2e17abded6e4555ac310752377b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.82
- Realized PnL
- $25.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will FC Porto beat Sporting CP?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Notre Dame position
Will Notre Dame beat Penn State by 2 or more points?
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Will Dallas Goedert score a touchdown?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Grizzlies position
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 55°F or higher on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1600 and $1700 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.8% 66 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.8% 90 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 98.3% 91 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 98% 91 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.6% 97 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.4% 100 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.5% 100 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.5% 83 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 11.6% 91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 95.4% 95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 95.6% 95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 95.6% 95 shares