No position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $58.75
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $191.24
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$111.75
Polymarket Trader
dxfby666
@atef123683
0xcf56d4fe5cf915f855b6bdc496e8f9fa69ebee5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $183.75
- Realized PnL
- $5.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $95.7
- Potential payout
- $219.99
- Potential profit
- $124.3
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$49.4
Yes position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.03
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$44.52
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.98
N
No position
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4.3
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $13.55
- Potential profit
- $10.81
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Y
Yes position
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $11.31
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Y
Yes position
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $1.42
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Everton win on 2024-12-04?
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
No position
No US strike on Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381
Lakers position
Kings vs. Lakers
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.65
Packers position
Titans vs. Packers
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.78
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.65
No position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.7
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Chargers
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.3
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will ENS win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.9
Yes position
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.15
Yes position
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.85
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.58
Yes position
Will Across win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.1
Yes position
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.5
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.2
Down position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will "Epstein" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.6
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 68% 161.86 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes 31% 100 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 49.1% 300 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?No 82% 25.99 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?No 68.5% 50 shares
- Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?Yes 60.8% 31.61 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No 87% 50 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 60.8% 50 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 24% 3.49 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No 74.8% 50 shares
- Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?Yes 65.1% 50 shares