Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
tinknows
0xcf59019c11d12b42b1cfa078fb5bcbeedc8d0a34
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.15K
- Realized PnL
- $3.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $937.5
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$57.5
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$547
Yes position
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $509.08
- Potential profit
- $509.08
- User PnL
- -$450
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $308.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $191.5
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$141.5
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $467.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $32.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $499.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $12.25
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $432.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$82.5
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $102.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $397.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$247.5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $442.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$142.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $491.99
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $34.07
- Potential payout
- $358.66
- Potential profit
- $324.59
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$62.77
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.56
- Potential profit
- $122.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $54.95
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $15.05
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $3.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.84
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.5
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.26
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.99
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.23
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.95
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 100 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes 0.7% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 13% 249.99 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 63.9% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes 2.9% 250.13 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No 93% 107.53 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 2% 174.14 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 96.7% 10 shares
- Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes 88.4% 509.08 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 71% 422.54 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 98.5% 1,015.23 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 500 shares