Polymarket Trader

0xCf5BFf0aD2362E6dEdF5e8998a4698B5c9804190-1723003060161

0xcf5bff0ad2362e6dedf5e8998a4698b5c9804190

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $693.22
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$583.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $693.22
Potential payout: $693.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $346.61

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.16
Potential profit: $253.16
User PnL: -$126.58

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.7
Potential profit: $239.7
User PnL: -$119.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.53
Potential profit: $228.53
User PnL: -$116.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.2
Potential profit: $208.2
User PnL: -$104.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.69
Potential profit: $145.69
User PnL: -$74.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.27
Potential profit: $129.27
User PnL: -$66.55

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.13
Potential profit: $98.13
User PnL: -$54.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570.17

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.63

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.28

Up position

Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.84

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.27

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 27, 4AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.96

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $19.88

Yes position

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Dogecoin all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Trump lead by 1.5 or more points on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Down 50% 239.7 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 248.16 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Down 49% 13.85 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Down 50% 266.69 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Down 50% 249.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET

Down 50% 208.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET

Down 49% 212.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET

Down 50% 212.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4AM ET

Down 51% 228.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Down 50.5% 190.57 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ET

Down 51% 135.25 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 4AM ET

Up 51% 126.02 shares