Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
micecim
0xcf7ea56bfb9771deac7407f77096e995deb862e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.83
- Realized PnL
- $114.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.18
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.75
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
New X CEO announced by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Klarna IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.24
- Potential profit
- $4.24
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.57
Yes position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.22
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
No position
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Ding position
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?
Ends Jul 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Elina Svitolina position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before April?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Bryan Johnson’s average nighttime erection 2h 12m+ in Dec?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Google forced to sell Chrome?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?No 49% 2.04 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No 25% 4 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 48.3% 4.14 shares
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina SvitolinaElina Svitolina 43% 2.33 shares
- Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 27.3% 11 shares
- Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 7.9% 12.66 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 23.6% 4.24 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
- Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes 23% 8.7 shares