Polymarket Trader

xiob

0xcf81933a3e92249929c6356e81dfe2041cefc7ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.96
Realized PnL: $187.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.41
Potential profit: $102.41
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $13.55
Potential profit: $3.59
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.92
Potential profit: $4.92
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.69

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.29

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.96

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.61

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Detroit Tigers position

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 81.3% 233.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 88% 56.84 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 99.9% 240.59 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 95.6% 240.6 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 102.41 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 85% 235.29 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 92% 163.04 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers 98% 102.04 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 99.9% 269.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 61% 4.92 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 49.45 shares