Polymarket Trader

jolabi

0xcf8a14dd67fe4e41f014169698df1aa9cb032691

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.58
Realized PnL: $137.5
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $570.71
Potential profit: $568.14
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $8.61
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $201.39
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$11.34

Yes position

Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.25
Potential profit: $117.25
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $101.27
Potential profit: $95.44
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.18

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.91
Potential profit: $45.91
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.62
Potential profit: $39.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $10.52
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $25.2
Multiplier: 3.40x
User PnL: $5.52

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.59
Potential profit: $20.59
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.78
Potential profit: $14.78
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $11.34
Potential profit: $11.27
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $22.12

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Yes position

Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Will Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 79.7% 1.25 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.5% 210 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 0.9% 570.71 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 11.5% 43.48 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 101.27 shares
Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Yes 1.5% 135.77 shares
Will Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Yes 17.2% 29 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Yes 20.3% 14.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up 22% 17.16 shares
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?

Yes 68.3% 5.25 shares