Polymarket Trader

mia8418

0xcf9e5170095a2f063699efef91f4adf06402e286

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $355.9
Realized PnL: -$35.42
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $332.26
Potential payout: $11.26K
Potential profit: $10.93K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $68.13

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
User PnL: -$342.71

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
User PnL: -$143.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$252.06

Yes position

Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$100.8

Yes position

Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $488.74
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$158.75

No position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$60

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $12.39
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $337.61
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$18.57

Yes position

Will Trump cut military spending?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.51
Potential profit: $306.51
User PnL: -$99.74

Yes position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$120

Miami (OH) RedHawks position

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.89
Potential profit: $199.89
User PnL: -$19.99

Gonzaga Bulldogs position

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.83
Potential profit: $59.83
User PnL: -$33.9

Miami (OH) RedHawks position

Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$22.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Kyrgios position

Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.52

Yes position

Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.3

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $138.48

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $90.4

Xavier position

Xavier vs. Texas

Ends Mar 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.5

No position

Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

>100 redactions in JFK files?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.69

Yes position

Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.21

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$132.02

No position

Trump negative approval before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$197.18

Yes position

Was JFK assassination an inside job?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$264.06

Xavier position

Xavier vs. Illinois

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$267

Yes position

Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$355.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Yes 3.5% 100 shares
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Gonzaga Bulldogs 57% 39.66 shares
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?

Yes 2.7% 733.15 shares
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?

Yes 7.1% 1,416.85 shares
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?

Yes 72.9% 137.21 shares
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Yes 60% 416.67 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 33% 757.58 shares
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?

Yes 51.7% 483.15 shares