Polymarket Trader

0xcfa5...35c6

0xcfa55f950839808e458ab8f1ae843c12984935c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $146.61
Realized PnL: $5.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.24K
Potential profit: $18.24K
User PnL: -$10.4K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.47
Potential profit: $365.47
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.4%
Current value: $146.61
Potential payout: $208.41
Potential profit: $61.79
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$3.39

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.88
Potential profit: $189.88
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.63
Potential profit: $129.63
User PnL: -$35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.98
Potential profit: $60.98
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.63
Potential profit: $50.63
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.4
Potential profit: $27.4
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.88

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.41

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.48

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.97

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.7

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.53

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 64% 78.13 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 82% 60.98 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 79% 189.87 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 75% 41.66 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 48% 41.67 shares
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

No 72% 208.41 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 90% 222.22 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 93.9% 798.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Down 94% 32.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Down 62% 32.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Up 99% 27.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Up 72% 27.78 shares