No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.9K
- Potential profit
- $102.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Polymarket Trader
Serega-pro
0xcfb502224876900f577704a19580ec67f0877d2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.78K
- Realized PnL
- $40.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- User PnL
- -$29.98
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $11.78K
- Potential payout
- $16.59K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $5.26K
- Potential payout
- $10.85K
- Potential profit
- $5.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.14K
- Potential profit
- $10.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $449.1
- Potential payout
- $8.89K
- Potential profit
- $8.44K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
No position
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.6K
- Potential profit
- $8.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $39.15
- Potential payout
- $7.12K
- Potential profit
- $7.08K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$60.85
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.11K
- Potential payout
- $5.35K
- Potential profit
- $240.91
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.84K
No position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $4.93K
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$213.99
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $576.19
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$643.81
No position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $722.22
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $231.97
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $809.16
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $912.45
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $117.31
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $535.26
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $163.98
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$650
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $183.98
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $931.05
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$78.16
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$269
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06K
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
No position
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will King Charles say "Ukraine" during the joint meeting of Congress?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $991.06
No position
Will Powell say "Tariff" 6+ times during speech on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.81
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $872.6
Yes position
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.22
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $773.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $756.07
No position
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.09
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.81
Yes position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 59.9% 150.35 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 62.5% 320.25 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 58.2% 859.25 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 50.7% 303.48 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 96.6% 160 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 56.8% 297.65 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.6% 70 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 53.2% 867.06 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 8.6% 4,467 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 38% 15.79 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10.5% 758.49 shares