No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- User PnL
- -$2.08K
Polymarket Trader
Luxovac
0xcfb84960ceca70b79b603796b05690d2feb137b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $145.15
- Realized PnL
- $3.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$752.98
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $984.24
- Potential profit
- $984.24
- User PnL
- -$658.22
Yes position
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $868.49
- Potential profit
- $868.49
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $546.94
- Potential profit
- $546.94
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473.5
- Potential profit
- $473.5
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $104.54
- Potential payout
- $409.97
- Potential profit
- $305.43
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$55.46
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $394.74
- Potential profit
- $394.74
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.67
- Potential profit
- $343.67
- User PnL
- -$278.73
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306.3
- Potential profit
- $306.3
- User PnL
- -$227.69
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $40.61
- Potential payout
- $170.62
- Potential profit
- $130.01
- Multiplier
- 4.20x
- User PnL
- -$9.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.11
de Ridder position
de Ridder vs. Nickal
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.38
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.79
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $223.92
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.58
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.27
No position
Trump positive favorability on Day 100?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.61
No position
Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.22
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.53
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.15
No position
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.73
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.04
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.84
No position
Iran strike on Israel before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.14
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.63
No position
Will Trump say "Steroid" in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.43
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.42
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.91
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 374.58 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 65% 344.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 816.95 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 74.8% 625.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 82% 731.71 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 708.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 82% 731.71 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 708.92 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 35.7% 140 shares
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes 29.3% 170.62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 123.28 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 54.9% 344.39 shares