Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $20.59
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Polymarket Trader
0xcfbd...72a0
0xcfbd68411d15d4a2983f5233f0d56b8b0a8172a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $70.25
- Realized PnL
- $26.99
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $15.47
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.15
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.9
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.4%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 3.29x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $11.96
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $3.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.7%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21.58
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 14% 15 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 7 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 10 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 53.7% 13 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 92.1% 9 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 8 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 15 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 42% 10 shares