Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409
- Potential profit
- $409
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Polymarket Trader
juannelson
0xcfc1d4011e7cbbe9f23708aacb59c1654beb9209
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.09
- Realized PnL
- $0.62
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $361
- Potential profit
- $361
- User PnL
- -$2.17
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $353
- Potential profit
- $353
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $70.09
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.7% 72 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 72 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 0.6% 361 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.8% 88 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.3% 88 shares
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 71 shares
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 71 shares
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 72 shares
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 72 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 99.9% 70 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.4% 92 shares