Luichy

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $339.15
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.5
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $123.11
Potential profit: $121.63
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $14.76
Potential payout: $48.39
Potential profit: $33.63
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $37.13
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.93
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $18.93
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $17.28
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $14.33
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $14.09
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $13.92
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.39
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.63
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Tribute to America Rally?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $7.82
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.11
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $5.85
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 5.92x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Trump say "Never Seen Before" during Tribute to America Rally?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.6
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 29-July 5?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET