Polymarket Trader

Changpohouxue

0xcfebb9100778b9ed7d3e6354440edf3e85163365

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.21K
Realized PnL: $2.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $7.65K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$69.96

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $44.28
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $35.76

Under position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$51

No position

Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $201.6
Potential payout: $213.45
Potential profit: $11.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $109.11
Potential payout: $110.77
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $41.78
Potential payout: $44.09
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $40.94
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $7.88
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.46

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.49

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.35

No position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.21

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.88

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.17

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $78.27

No position

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.2

Thunder position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.02

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

No position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.14

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.01

No position

Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.46

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.1

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.11

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.91

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 91% 1,370 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 94.9% 4,430.63 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 1.9% 1,257.06 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 96.8% 2,242.47 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 92% 1,370 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 86.7% 757.07 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

No 94.7% 3,002.12 shares
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 1.1% 231.42 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99.6% 0.14 shares
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Yes 97.5% 392 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 61.5% 1,508.36 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 81.2% 1,016.73 shares