Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $55.25
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $444.73
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Polymarket Trader
ethaccount4501
0xcffc4fec47a705b83be6b58450eefa5a68836cac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $176.37
- Realized PnL
- $566.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $17.12
- Potential payout
- $214
- Potential profit
- $196.88
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$29.96
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $47.81
- Potential payout
- $128
- Potential profit
- $80.19
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $21.25
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $63.75
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $21.53
- Potential payout
- $40.25
- Potential profit
- $18.72
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $13.41
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of June 29 2026?No 51% 4 shares
- Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 37% 15 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 12% 39.98 shares
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?No 75% 49.59 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 47% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 45% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp 23% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown 29% 3.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 58% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown 33% 3.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown 42.9% 2.33 shares