Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $746.63
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Polymarket Trader
pikaqiulail
0xd01fcef117110f0b1d445c5410400ad238628404
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $128.01
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $137.64
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $72.75
- Potential payout
- $132.27
- Potential profit
- $59.52
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $12.28
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $104.2
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $42.25
- Potential profit
- $39.28
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $29.42
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $11.32
- Potential payout
- $20.4
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.67
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.86
Yes position
Will Trump and Elon say "Tax" 5 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.6
No position
Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.5
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-89 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Solana above $260 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will $TRUMP hit $50B FDV by noon on inauguration day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Andrew Tate tweet 180-199 times Jan 24-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will the high in Washington DC be 19°F or below on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Ripple above $2.20 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Will Mamdani visit the White House by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.4
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
Yes position
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.04
Wizards position
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.53
No position
Will Solana dip to $120 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.87
No position
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?No 45.9% 88.1 shares
- Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 62% 31.25 shares
- Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 142.86 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.1% 42.25 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 750 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.8% 107.14 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.8% 147.06 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?No 45.3% 44.17 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 49% 20.4 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 78% 38.46 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No 14% 200 shares