Polymarket Trader

bignewsagencypro

0xd029b13f2e562c77e2db3e5eda140cee79a44fc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $316.67
Realized PnL: $15.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $277.42
Potential payout: $293.57
Potential profit: $16.15
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $97.42

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$4.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $19.85
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.42
Potential profit: $27.42
User PnL: -$18.79

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.65

Yes position

Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.8
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$5.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98K

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55K

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39K

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $923.06

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.76

Yes position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $213.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.25

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.92

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.07

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.93

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.33

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.27

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.95

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.49

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.86

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 45% 111.11 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 61% 81.97 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 79.6% 100.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Up 4% 37.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Down 73% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Down 50% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Up 99% 1.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Up 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Up 35% 2.86 shares