Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $45.52
- Potential payout
- $91.04K
- Potential profit
- $91K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Polymarket Trader
pantomime
0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.99K
- Realized PnL
- $450.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $20.44
- Potential payout
- $40.88K
- Potential profit
- $40.86K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$204.02
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $14.77
- Potential payout
- $29.53K
- Potential profit
- $29.52K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$190.83
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $20.32K
- Potential payout
- $20.41K
- Potential profit
- $91.85
- User PnL
- $823.24
Yes position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.88K
- Potential profit
- $13.88K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $10.37K
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $131.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $687.79
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $10.33K
- Potential profit
- $9.18K
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$174.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.96K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.68K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.47K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.33K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.12K
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.49K
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3K
Yes position
Will Kyle Whittingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.06K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34K
Yes position
1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32K
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9K
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.34K
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.07K
Yes position
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56K
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52K
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $6.39K
Yes position
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57K
Yes position
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 46,189 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.9% 1,209.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18.7% 706.32 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18.7% 1,362.92 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 99.1% 1,734.51 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 98.6% 6,889.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 77.8% 6,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 27% 3,863.44 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 74.3% 1,111.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 29% 8,727.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 64.9% 419.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 61.5% 2,575.11 shares