Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Polymarket Trader
0xD03CdFBAb84De34A9C365BE2198571E6fb5C3F4
0xd03cdfbab84de34a9c365be2198571e6fb5c3f47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.25K
- Realized PnL
- $6.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- $477
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $613.93
- Potential payout
- $813.15
- Potential profit
- $199.22
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $613.93
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $489
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.2%
- Current value
- $123.45
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $176.54
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- -$80.85
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $299.7
- Potential profit
- $290.26
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $249.35
- Potential payout
- $260.83
- Potential profit
- $11.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $249.35
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $22.07
- Potential payout
- $149.64
- Potential profit
- $127.57
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $22.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $768.37
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570
No position
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.46
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $445.01
No position
Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.09
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.08
No position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.23
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.01
No position
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.86
No position
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
No position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.45
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.64
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.9
No position
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.23
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.38
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $72.02
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.65
No position
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 78% 1,000 shares
- Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 95.8% 100 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 1.3% 300 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.2% 800 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 90.3% 100.52 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 1,999.98 shares
- Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes 95.5% 10.81 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 4,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 79% 528.72 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 98% 30.97 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?No 97.2% 25.58 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No 98.7% 140.26 shares