No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $477.36
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- User PnL
- $0.24
Polymarket Trader
ddfadacai
0xd0407c3fa6f55c03b725a167af631868ef8a74ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $898.01
- Realized PnL
- $232.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $296.78
- Potential payout
- $313.55
- Potential profit
- $16.78
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $72.59
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $123.88
- Potential payout
- $142.39
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $7.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.06
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.99
No position
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.01
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.54
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.93
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Washington Nationals position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 8?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.4% 480 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 60 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 82.39 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.2% 270 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 160.99 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.1% 161.88 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 161.89 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 71.5% 313.55 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 98.8% 230 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 99% 160 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.8% 158.91 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.6% 158.9 shares