Polymarket Trader

beavernikkuh

0xd046a0ee7dd5527675d404940dd9639ccad298b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $499.96
Realized PnL: -$4.03K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $499.96
Potential payout: $83.33K
Potential profit: $82.83K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.62K
Potential profit: $6.62K
User PnL: -$69.99

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.19K
Potential profit: $5.19K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $5.02K
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$20

Warriors position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $709.02
Potential profit: $709.02
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525
Potential profit: $525
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430.14
Potential profit: $430.14
User PnL: -$101

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.01
Potential profit: $259.01
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.73

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.76

Yes position

Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.29

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Yes position

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.89

No position

Grokipedia released by November 7?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.59

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$148.38

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$184.06

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$311.36

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$3.8K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.6% 16,416.2 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Yes 2.1% 6,400 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.6% 6,666.67 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Yes 5% 6,000 shares
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Yes 4.9% 7,085.07 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Yes 5% 400 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.4% 50,380.44 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 4.6% 2,173.91 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 5% 4,000 shares
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Yes 6.3% 7,085.07 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 13% 681.81 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 23.5% 3,689.05 shares