Polymarket Trader

leratpace

@ratpace

0xd04af16a69286d40c383342d6eef7a89f76bd7ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.82K
Realized PnL: $10.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $6.91K
Potential payout: $50.63K
Potential profit: $43.72K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$199.55

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $31.06K
Potential profit: $28.94K
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$622.87

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $4.14K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$20.67

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $3.52K
User PnL: -$2.18K

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $237.54
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $11.31

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $495.24
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$4.34

Over position

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $885.02
Potential profit: $885.02
User PnL: -$740

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $877.19
Potential profit: $877.19
User PnL: -$500

Over position

Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $846.15
Potential profit: $846.15
User PnL: -$600

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $826.68
Potential profit: $826.68
User PnL: -$490.22

Over position

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $447.76
Potential profit: $447.76
User PnL: -$300

No position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $328.95
Potential profit: $328.95
User PnL: -$250

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.66
Potential profit: $309.66
User PnL: -$170

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$200

Over position

Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.99
Potential profit: $206.99
User PnL: -$120

Over position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767.26

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $744.77

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $690.88

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.83

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627.66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.74

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.23

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.67

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.7

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $438.99

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.57

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $292.52

No position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.31

Over position

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.56

No position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.82

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.63

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.14

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.35

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.56

No position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.09

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $136.52

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 29,197.08 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 67% 312.1 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 67% 1,910.85 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 40% 4,303.9 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 67% 11,240.29 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 611.5 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 88% 463.35 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 4,411.76 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 88% 3,468.98 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 1,166.29 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 1,470.59 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 67% 2,574.31 shares