Yes position
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.13K
- Potential profit
- $34.13K
- User PnL
- -$276.96
Polymarket Trader
sd2333
0xd05337711843b6333275321dff7f0798ea35f7c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $495
- Realized PnL
- $15.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.91K
- Potential profit
- $27.91K
- User PnL
- -$548.52
Yes position
U.S. military action against Iran by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.89K
- Potential profit
- $15.89K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.34K
- Potential profit
- $13.34K
- User PnL
- -$905.51
Yes position
Will the Browns make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.68K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Yes position
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.13K
- Potential profit
- $8.13K
- User PnL
- -$290.23
Yes position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.09K
- Potential profit
- $7.09K
- User PnL
- -$653.48
Yes position
New pandemic before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- User PnL
- -$897.46
Yes position
New pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$584.36
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$47.57
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Jay Clayton for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$128.22
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$54.46
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- User PnL
- -$136.18
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $279
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$238.24
No position
Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$110.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$26.59
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$464.26
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- User PnL
- -$110.45
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $216
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$103.14
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$799.79
No position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$556.06
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$117.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $945
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888.65
Yes position
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.72
Yes position
India x Pakistan military clash before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.57
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.41
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.51
No position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $519.25
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $514.15
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $430.01
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.02
Yes position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $205.12
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Trump nominate John Ratcliffe for Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.89
No position
Will Trump say "tampon" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.15
Yes position
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.67
No position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.8
Yes position
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.06
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy attend Pope Francis' funeral?
Ends Apr 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125.94
No position
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 63% 300 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Yes 16.7% 3,100 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes 11.8% 2,700 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 9.6% 1,000 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 1.4% 4,000 shares
- Weed rescheduled by March 31?Yes 34.8% 1,000 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 15% 2,000 shares
- Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?Yes 21.1% 28.09 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 16.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 0.9% 3,000 shares
- Will Trump sue the BBC?Yes 71.1% 322.09 shares
- Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes 4.2% 788.7 shares