PMXT-Omnibus

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $561.92
Potential profit: $556.87
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$28.09

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.61
Potential profit: $372.61
User PnL: -$24.06

No position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $32.15
Potential payout: $169.23
Potential profit: $137.08
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $9.73

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.67
Potential profit: $146.67
User PnL: -$22

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$16

No position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $119.4
Potential profit: $116.48
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$5.06

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $18.49
Potential payout: $81.63
Potential profit: $63.14
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $13.45
Potential payout: $72.73
Potential profit: $59.27
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $41.27
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.14
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $10.04
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.08
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.1
Potential profit: $9.1
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Qinwen Zheng position

Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 16.3%
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: $0

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?