No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Polymarket Trader
Marten2014
0xd05c5330725aa0400c4aac3ad65959e6efb48b69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$0.93
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Nets
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Nets
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 30-40% on the EU by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Kwon Yeong-guk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.21
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.7% 27 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.8% 27 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 29% 41 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 30% 41.41 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 5.1% 73 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.5% 15 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.5% 82 shares
- Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup?No 97.5% 1.85 shares
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 93.3% 6 shares
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 93.5% 6 shares
- Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?No 96.2% 6 shares
- Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?No 96.5% 6 shares