unluigi

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$74.3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9.57
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $170
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $829.98
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $22.3
Potential payout: $629.93
Potential profit: $607.63
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $8.44

No position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $30.53
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $524.48
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$3.98

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $375
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $165.11
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $214.89
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $39.77

Yes position

Will Norway come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $23.37
Potential payout: $232.5
Potential profit: $209.13
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.98
Potential profit: $219.98
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $194.99
Potential profit: $194.31
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.98
Potential profit: $194.98
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.44
Potential profit: $194.44
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $13.12
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $146.88
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: -$6.08

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $159.64
Potential profit: $158.92
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $20.3
Potential payout: $139.99
Potential profit: $119.69
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $130.53
Potential profit: $128.05
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$2.74

No position

Will FURIA Make a Roster Change before September?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $62.08
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $65.92
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$8.52

No position

Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.79

No position

Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $169.46

Yes position

Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?

Implied probability: 15.3%
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $117.55

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.45

Yes position

Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.97

No position

Will Astralis make a roster change before July?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $78.39

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.4

Yes position

Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $39.53

No position

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Finland position

World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

9z position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.1

Yes position

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.48

No position

Will Astralis win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

NIP position

IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. HEROIC

Ends Jul 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.08

Yes position

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.45

Yes position

Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.01

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?