Polymarket Trader

6482f

0xd08e8f5efb47d9ff61c30e9c8546f82f7f2a2f7c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $909.25
Realized PnL: $39.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $909.25
Potential payout: $7.91K
Potential profit: $7K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$858.9

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.47K
User PnL: -$690.14

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$360.15

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

US military action on Yemen before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $995.28

Yes position

Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $855.59

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.29

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740.35

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.94

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.63

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.41

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527.31

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.25

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 1,001.6 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 1,001.6 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 4.1% 2,415.61 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 0.2% 3,418.57 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 2% 3,558.11 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 63.5% 179.49 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 44.2% 175.43 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 4.3% 2,325.58 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 4.2% 2,366.32 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 57% 175.44 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 3.3% 1,504.36 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 6.4% 780.43 shares