Polymarket Trader

Little-whale

0xd099799382c1161cc07b3c9a8c9118987d163a44

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.5
Realized PnL: $1.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $46.67
Potential profit: $44.68
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $38.63
Potential profit: $35.73
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $19.42
Potential profit: $14.59
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Trump say "Mount Rushmore" this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $16.28
Potential profit: $12.78
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $13.46
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.39
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $10.44
Potential profit: $7.52
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $7.36
Multiplier: 3.46x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.04
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $3.55
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Trump say "Fertilizer" this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.62

Under position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 66.9%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.51

Yes position

Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?

No 41% 2.44 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Under 66.5% 1.5 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 25.7% 19.42 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 29% 10.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?

Up 65% 8.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 27.7% 19.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 71% 4.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 82% 3.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 80% 3.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 81% 3.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 81% 3.7 shares