Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Polymarket Trader
ywu81
0xd099eac6a655b28fbd3d534feb717c3b8af609f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.76
- Realized PnL
- $21.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 4.35 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.5% 2.03 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.1% 2.1 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 95% 2.11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 98.9% 2.02 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No 98.8% 2.02 shares
- Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?Yes 99.7% 2.01 shares
- Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No 98% 2.04 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 2.08 shares
- Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?Yes 98.7% 2.03 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?No 99.1% 2.02 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 94% 2.13 shares