rrawrr

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $28.47
Potential profit: $27.4
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $5.96
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.18

Ollie Schmid position

UFC Fight Night: Marwan Rahiki vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Tim Elliott position

UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $3.9
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $2.26
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.94
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$0.09

Robert Bryczek position

UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2.75
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45
Potential profit: $2.45
User PnL: -$1.52

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.24

Jack Della Maddalena position

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will BetBoom Team win PGL Wallachia Season 8?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.96

Alexander Volkov position

UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Quillan Salkilld position

UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?