No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Current value
- $398.19
- Potential payout
- $514.46
- Potential profit
- $116.27
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $37.96
Polymarket Trader
cripwalk
0xd0a35d545e970d34ad4be444459c97a276405a2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $445.39
- Realized PnL
- $607.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $29.01
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Current value
- $18.19
- Potential payout
- $23.35
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.62
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Falcons
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.14
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $48.63
Dolphins position
Bills vs. Dolphins
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.85
Jaguars position
Chargers vs. Jaguars
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.43
Sinner position
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.21
Saints position
Saints vs. Panthers
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.24
Alcaraz position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.14
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.72
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.79
Ravens position
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Auger-Aliassime position
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.75
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
Texans position
Jaguars vs. Texans
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
Auger-Aliassime position
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95
KT Rolster position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Hurricanes
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Alcaraz position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
No position
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Yes position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
Sinner position
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 70% 400 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 70.7% 15.35 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 70.1% 114.46 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No 96.9% 30 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 79% 200 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.5% 21 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 95% 1,407.63 shares
- Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 98.7% 1,054.17 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.2% 1,157.89 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.6% 820.18 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 95% 1,157.89 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 1,267.3 shares