No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $720.34
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$243.43
Polymarket Trader
Luciferianinsigne
0xd0a3d5db54ab46e740da7cc4f4e59676b0a0962f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $721.39
- Realized PnL
- $2.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $218.75
- Potential profit
- $218.2
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.58
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.45
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.39
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.95
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.97
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.58
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.75
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?No 20.8% 70.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp 34% 14.71 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 33.1% 1,087.72 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?No 16.9% 147.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 22% 2,617.32 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 43% 271.58 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?No 53% 224.56 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 2,345.74 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 1,727.58 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 58% 262.17 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 24.3% 248.28 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 23.1% 248.27 shares