Polymarket Trader

99cents

0xd0bf03d87db7c398b065b2902d5c9a667ad408f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $123.38
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.39
Potential profit: $226.39
User PnL: -$30.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.88
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $113.13
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.48
Potential profit: $106.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.11
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $66.47
Potential profit: $66.04
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $63.46
Potential profit: $53.75
Multiplier: 6.54x
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.12
Potential profit: $58.12
User PnL: -$12.36

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $37.64
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $8.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $31.94
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $36.94
Potential profit: $30.85
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.93
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $30.53
Potential profit: $29.96
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $24.53
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.19
Potential payout: $27.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $24.83

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $25.7
Potential profit: $25.24
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $25.57
Potential profit: $25.25
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $22.55
Potential profit: $22.43
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $22.44
Potential profit: $22.2
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.55
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.08
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Brex IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.44
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$1.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $245.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 19.8% 38.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 7% 8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Yes 4.2% 6,786.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Yes 4.3% 3,283.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 16.8% 29.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Yes 10.2% 98.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 22% 66.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 22.6% 33.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 45.9% 32.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 45.9% 32.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 11.4% 300 shares