Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $22.55
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$21.38
Polymarket Trader
jozeslemsek
0xd0bf186c69a936395c84d6b45bbd39eadfcf9f9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.86
- Realized PnL
- $401.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $899.55
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $11.97
- Potential payout
- $683.96
- Potential profit
- $671.99
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $9.1
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $596.7
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.09
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $578.68
- Potential profit
- $569.13
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.23
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.23
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $479.8
- Potential profit
- $478.12
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $398.38
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.65
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $279.32
- Potential profit
- $278.2
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $253.55
- Potential profit
- $252.03
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $206.96
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $197.41
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $31.11
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.1
Yes position
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.81
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.5
Yes position
Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.09
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.28
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.71
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.39
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.84
No position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $11.33
Yes position
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.18
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 1% 8.81 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 4% 88.49 shares
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 2.4% 12.51 shares
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 5% 20.91 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 99.9% 2.8 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 92% 2.8 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 8.4% 23.86 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 60.5% 38.19 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 51.1% 5.87 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 45% 0.27 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 2% 110.98 shares