No position
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Ends Mar 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.25
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Polymarket Trader
EltS
0xd0c6d5086f0490aa9a7f312b65e4310b398ad465
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.71
- Realized PnL
- $53.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $16.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $33.75
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.4
- Potential profit
- $49.4
- User PnL
- -$41
No position
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $38.4
- Potential profit
- $31.3
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$20.9
Yes position
Will Falcons make a roster change before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.37
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$6.31
N
No position
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $16.38
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.5B?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$7.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- User PnL
- -$10.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.62
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Y
Yes position
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 4?Yes 17% 4.25 shares
- Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Yes 52% 10 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 88% 20.28 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 69% 20.29 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes 26% 8.6 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 4?Yes 26% 3.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?No 62% 20 shares
- Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?No 11% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?No 81% 1.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 3?No 57% 5.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?No 83% 6 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 93% 20.83 shares