Polymarket Trader

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0xd0d920677cf913e289b6467dde2140d4fa43d6db

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.48K
Realized PnL: $13.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $9.87K
Potential profit: $8.83K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$364.72

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $6.35K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$575.17

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $360.44
Potential payout: $4.77K
Potential profit: $4.41K
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$34.25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $469.77
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $128.55

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $70.01
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $18.1

Yes position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $279.64
Potential payout: $860.44
Potential profit: $580.79
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $39.15

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $670
Potential profit: $665.31
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$10.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $22.21
Potential payout: $261.29
Potential profit: $239.08
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$25.11

Yes position

Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $48.76
Potential payout: $212
Potential profit: $163.24
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $19.08

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $53.14
Potential profit: $38.26
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$11.62

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.9
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.88K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.53

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $655.2

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.1%
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $637.79

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.51

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $552.39

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.94

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.57

No position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.06

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $331.12

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $292.2

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $273.35

No position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $271.21

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.12

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.92

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.57

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.79

No position

US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $145.23

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.49

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $132.15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 48% 306 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 48% 370.07 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 15% 868.2 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 15% 940.33 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 69% 251.8 shares
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Yes 7.5% 2,203.65 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 83% 0.15 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 837.2 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 1,322 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 36% 1,791.83 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 912.21 shares