No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- $712.37
Polymarket Trader
Talophex
@Talophex
0xd0db79306c38e8ce1969ce80dde58fa67a67b117
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.5K
- Realized PnL
- $25.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.23K
- Potential payout
- $9.87K
- Potential profit
- $641.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $228.72
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $7.93K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $72
- User PnL
- $191.1
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $7.94K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- $328.07
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $6.94K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $562.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $37.51
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.41K
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $46.36
- User PnL
- $159.59
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.76K
- Potential payout
- $4.78K
- Potential profit
- $19.13
- User PnL
- $84.54
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.57K
- Potential payout
- $4.59K
- Potential profit
- $22.95
- User PnL
- $89.98
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $265.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $204.44
No position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $256.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $79.77
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.91K
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $13.74
- User PnL
- $22.28
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- User PnL
- $13.09
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $3.34K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $105.04
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $186.43
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $2.45K
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $56.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $27.51
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$126.22
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $129
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.95K
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- User PnL
- $89.74
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $6.62
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $10.69
- User PnL
- $75.36
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- $9.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
Ends Jul 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7061299.45x
- User PnL
- $2.86K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023?
Ends Apr 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Y
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
Ends Jan 20, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021?
Ends Nov 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 10863773.94x
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023?
Ends Feb 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.89
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.16
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $722.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.23
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.63
No position
Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.24
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.41
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.54
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021?
Ends Oct 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6223567.63x
- User PnL
- $616.26
No position
[Single Market] Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.88
Yes position
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.06
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
Ends Sep 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 13242921.18x
- User PnL
- $588.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 99.6% 500 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No 99.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 99.7% 306 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 85.8% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 98.9% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 19.87 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.4% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 221.41 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99% 461.93 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.8% 1,143 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 85% 250 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 98.1% 31.45 shares