Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$45.76
Polymarket Trader
HowellChen
0xd0dd45db998cd8a7c11c9dc2a9c08c621060f987
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.51
- Realized PnL
- $1.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $110.11
- Potential profit
- $101.86
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.44
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2PM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 24% 73.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 6% 280.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 7% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 1.1% 800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 0.9% 183.77 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.6% 239.78 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.1% 15.45 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.1% 70 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.3% 138.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 20% 90 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 8.9% 112.87 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 52% 19.23 shares