Polymarket Trader

youareaidiot

@3kh0_

0xd0de724f80713bc43be6738472e2c50a8c19a9fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $380.38
Realized PnL: $1.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $209.38
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$46.02

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.17
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $8.48
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $27.03
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $10.76
Potential payout: $24.46
Potential profit: $13.7
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $19.21
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $13.64
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.02

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.74

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.93

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.58

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.51

Yes position

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.13

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.66

Yes position

Will Vitality win the IEM Dallas tournament?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.6

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.8

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.86

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.15

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.12

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.49

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.1

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.9

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.07

Yes position

Will Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.65

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.99

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.84

Yes position

Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.73

No position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

Liquid position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 0.2% 60 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 0.6% 58 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 97% 25 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 97.8% 7.78 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Over 93% 10 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Under 7% 8 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Over 91% 10 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

No 67% 14.93 shares